Data Scientist (Superforecaster) | $245/hr Remote | Mercor

At Crossing Hurdles, we work as a referral partner. We refer candidates to Mercor that collaborates with the world’s leading AI research labs to build and train cutting-edge AI models. Organization: Mercor Position: Superforecaster Referral Partner: Crossing Hurdles Type: Hourly contract Compensation: $140–$245 per hour Location: Remote Duration: Project-based Commitment: 10-40 hours/week, flexible and asynchronous Responsibilities: (Training support will be provided) • Deliver calibrated, evidence-backed forecasts on complex, real-world questions. • Document forecasting rationale, methodology, and sources with clarity and structure. • Participate in peer review and collaborative forecast refinement. • Advise on prompt quality, scoring frameworks, and resolution criteria. • Support the evaluation of AI-generated forecasts against human benchmarks. Requirements: • Recognized affiliation with a forecasting organization (e.g., GJP, Swift Centre, RFI, IIF). • Demonstrated forecasting accuracy and calibration over multiple years. • Experience contributing to high-stakes or public forecasting tournaments. • Strong analytical, probabilistic, and written communication skills. • Comfortable working independently and asynchronously on structured tasks. Application Process: (Takes 20 min) • Submit your resume • AI interview based on your resume (15 min) • Submit form