Applied Statistician | $140/hr Remote

At Crossing Hurdles, we work as a referral partner. We refer candidates to our partner that collaborates with world’s leading AI research labs to build and train cutting-edge AI models. Position: Hobbyist/Statistical Forecaster Referral Partner: Crossing Hurdles Type: Hourly contract Compensation: $105–$140 per hour Location: Remote Duration: Project-based Commitment: 10-40 hours/week, flexible and asynchronous Role Responsibilities: • Produce structured, probabilistic forecasts across diverse domains. • Clearly articulate forecasting logic, assumptions, and data inputs. • Draw on models, heuristics, and statistical reasoning to inform predictions. • Collaborate with a global network of forecasters and AI researchers. • Provide feedback on prompt quality, resolution criteria, and forecast design. Requirements: • Active participation in forecasting platforms (e.g., Metaculus, Polymarket, Kalshi, Numerai, Kaggle). • High leaderboard placement or notable tournament track record. • Strong statistical reasoning and ability to work with probabilistic frameworks. • Comfortable documenting thought processes and communicating clearly in writing. • Self-driven and intellectually curious. Application Process: (Takes 20 min) • Submit your resume • AI interview based on your resume (15 min) • Submit form