Manager - Subscriber Growth Forecasting

Title: Manager - Subscriber Growth Forecasting Term: Contract Location: New York, NY Mandatory Skills : subscriber growth, churn, Forecastin gRole Description :The Manager of Subscriber Forecasting will lead the development and optimization of forecasting models for subscriber growth, churn, and lifetime value (LTV). This role serves as a strategic liaison across Data Science, Marketing, Finance, and BI teams, ensuring accurate projections, informed decision-making, and optimized marketing investments. This role will help with strategic initiatives, including national and targeted promotions. The ideal candidate combines analytical expertise with strong cross-functional collaboration skills to drive business impact .Responsibilitie • sOwn subscriber forecasts and measure performance[VD2.1], including subscriber acquisition by cohort and short- and long-term subscriber retention in close collaboration with the Data Science, marketing and finance teams to help model revenue and future growth trends • .Lead process to collect and analyze model inputs across acquisition, retention and partnership leads to incorporate all perspectives and analyze how different promotions and platforms impact the busines • sAnalyze subscriber growth and churn to identify factors that drive performance, describe reasons for variance to plan and identify potential levers to accelerate business growth • .Collaborate with the Data Science, Title Marketing, and Paid Media teams on developing and maintaining forecasts for new starts, churn, and subscriber base • .Act as the key liaison between Marketing, Finance, BI, and Data Science teams to ensure alignment on subscriber goals with a seamless forecasting process • .Develop platform-level forecasts and allocate marketing budgets using MMM to optimize performance across channels • .Provide regular updates on weekly and monthly reporting on pacing, actuals vs. goals, and forecast accuracy • .Partner with BI teams to automate reporting and dashboards for the executive team • .Develop promotional scenarios with incrementality goals. And perform post-promotion assessments against business case goals to measure impact . Qualificatio • ns8+ years of experience in forecasting, analytics, or strategic planning within subscription-based or media businesse • s.Strong proficiency in forecasting methodologies, statistical modeling, and scenario plannin • g.Strong understanding of retention cohorts and curv • esAdvanced Excel skills; experience with BI tools and data visualization platforms (e.g., Tableau, Power BI • ).Proficiency in writing and optimizing SQL queries to extract, analyze, and manipulate dat • a.Excellent communication and stakeholder management skill • s.Curiosity for user experiences powered by machine learning, algorithms and recommendation system • s.Experience working with multi-platform products on mobile, web and OT T. PREFERRED SK • ILSExperience working in digital streaming dom • ainFamiliarity with machine learning techniques and predictive modeli • ng.Ability to develop scripts in Python (or similar languages such as R) for data manipulation and modeli • ng.Capability to work in a fast-paced and constantly changing environme nt. EDUCATION AND EXPERI • ENCEAnalytical and strategic thinker with strong business acu • men.Highly collaborative and able to work across multiple teams and priorities.\[VD3.1]\[NM3.2]\[MN3.3]\[MN • 3.4]Detail-oriented with a focus on accuracy and continuous improvem • ent.Bachelor’s degree in Business, Economics, Data Analytics, or related field; MBA prefer red.